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Wednesday, June 10, 2020

Covid-19 Data

Data reference https://covidlive.com.au/report/daily-cases/qld



Queensland health have been doing a fantastic job tracing the sources of infection.

Covidlive provides data on where they have traced the infections.  They have 4 columns
Traced to overseas,
Traced to contact with someone known to have it.
Unknown which for a long time was referred to as "Community Transmission" and the fourth column "Investigation"

If you look at the data, which I have convieniently replicated here, you will observe that since 20th of April, the Unknown/ Community Transmission has sat at just over 40.  I assume the reason it goes up and down a bit is as they complete investigations and are able to actually trace it.

This provides a hint that one will not catch the virus from a random person at bunnings, woolies or the local cafe.

If you subtract the numbers at 20-APRIL from the numbers at 10-June, the results are:
43 New cases
40 Traced to over seas
10 Traced to contact
1 Unknown / community transmission. 
-8 under investigation. ie traced.








To me the conclusion here is that you simply are not going to catch it from random meetings in the community.

Remember this is pretty much all before the use of the covid app or recording detail in restaurants.

So one has to ask why is the QLD govenrment removing the restrictions so slowly.

It feels to me that they are basing their decisions more on polling community sentiment than on science.




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